Published On: Tue, Jan 23rd, 2018

Oscars 2018 set for SHOCK wins? Here’s why the nominations suggest surprises


Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri has long been considered the favourite to scoop Best Picture, especially after pulling off a similar feat at the Golden Globes.

However there’s one telling sign in today’s nominations list that indicates its path to glory at the Oscars might not be set in stone: director Martin McDonagh has not been shortlisted for Best Director.

2018 marks the 90th Academy Awards, and only four times in the previous 89 years has the Best Picture trophy been won by a film without a shortlisted director.

It happened to Argo in 2013 when Ben Affleck was snubbed, and before that it happened with Driving Miss Daisy (1990), The Grand Hotel (1932) and, at the first ever Oscars, Wings in 1929.

So what could beat it?

The obvious choice is The Shape of Water. With bookies it remains the closest competition for Billboards (6/4) with Ladbrokes, and it is also the most nominated movie, with 13 nods overall.

Lady Bird could also be a strong hopeful, with 8/1 odds; and Get Out and Dunkirk could also apply the pressure.

What goes in Shape of Water’s favour is the fact that director Guillermo del Toro is the favourite to win Best Director.

His odds of 4/6 trump Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) on 13/8 and Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) on 10/1.

Despite huge internet support for Timothee Chalamet and a growing backlash against some past comments by Gary Oldman, it seems Best Actor is one category that is virtually sealed.

Ladbrokes have prices Oldman at an almost dead-cert price of 1/10, with Chalamet second on 12/1.

The Oscars will be held on March 4.


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